tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post1052626127812522630..comments2023-10-25T07:29:40.789-02:30Comments on UNCLE GNARLEY: DUNDERDALE ADMINISTRATION: UNFIT TO GOVERNDes Sullivanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-70673939985117976892013-12-04T21:09:13.801-03:302013-12-04T21:09:13.801-03:30What is it about the media is the message. Half tr...What is it about the media is the message. Half truths and sound bites is what is given and most accept it. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-61874622653157487922013-12-04T17:13:30.053-03:302013-12-04T17:13:30.053-03:30I am presently reading Joe-Clark's new book on...I am presently reading Joe-Clark's new book on the future of Canada's role int the world. It is exceeding my expectations so far. But there is one line in the book which really stands out. When refering to openess of governments he makes a statement that due to media, internet and better communications that <br /><br />"We live in an age that the public can not be kept out of public decisions". <br /><br />This was a very profound statement, because in Newfoundland and Labrador we have seen the opposite happen over the past 10 - 12 years. The public are being removed from policy and decision making. Muskrat Falls is an excellent example of this. <br /><br />People talk about the Premier's communication issues... I think they have been very successful on filtering the message such that only half the truth is out in the open. But this half truth allows the myth of full transparancy to grow unchecked. It allows sound bights such as "No other project has been so open", "The PUB did not make a decision" etc. <br /><br />The reality is that in NL our democracy has failed with the Muskrat issue. Whether it is a good project, or a bad one is irrelvant. Our weak political system has failed. <br /><br />Joe Clark is wrong. We live in a age when cityzens do not demand details, but are pacified by soundbights. It is this fact which guides government communication policies. <br /><br />Our society is worse off for it. <br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-91058526412944126472013-12-04T10:32:56.799-03:302013-12-04T10:32:56.799-03:30Your argument ignore the spinoff benefits from hav...Your argument ignore the spinoff benefits from have construction and engineering companies operating for four years while MF is being built. nfld learned long ago that real prosperity comes from short term thinking and the application of third world politics. I am, of course, being sarcastic but to any outsider the pattern of development in this province since confederation more closely resembles post colonial Africa than it does North America and Western Europe. Maybe that's all we are capable of: graft, corruption, nepotism, and the continual enrichment of the few at the expense of the many. I guess at least we will have our energy warehouse when the oil runs out.<br /><br />John D PippyAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03044966985727657714noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-26001611718103631182013-12-03T15:12:34.348-03:302013-12-03T15:12:34.348-03:30Des the 330MW Avalon block includes Long Harbor - ...Des the 330MW Avalon block includes Long Harbor - and this is the only new industry in the foreseeable future? 7400 GWh current Island demand up to 8400 GWh with long harbor - 10500 GWh 2041 - 12000 GWH 2067. <br /><br />2100 GWh of additional demand post Long Harbor by 2041? Has this forecast ever included the possibility of 2 major industrial power users (CBPP CbC Refinery) closing down?<br /><br />Post 41' demand forecasts being used as justification for MF, when 23000 GWh UC power becomes available to NL is a straw man argument. <br /><br />I remember when Wade Locke misinterpreted a fellow MUN economist pricing electricity to reduce demand - saying we COULD lower demand if we raised prices 80%. <br /><br />Raising industrial power rates (ind rate set to double to 8 cents kWh in 2015 from current 4 cents kWh) to curb excessive power use due to cheep power - gives incentives for industries to become more energy efficient thereby lowering demand. This was the main point Locke failed to consider or make an academic counter point to. <br /><br />HAHA 80% energy increases: it's not like MF DG2 #s had a 50% bill increase for residential ratepayers - O wait it DID with a 2% annual price increase for 50 years. <br /><br />80MW of firm wind power (320MW rated) can generate 700 GWh of electricity annually at the cost of $1.3 billion (installed) for 160 2MW turbines. 700 GWh of renewable energy while lowering fuel costs and allowing existing hydro to store greater amounts of water in their reservoirs - sounds fairly straight forward. <br /><br />176MW or 1541 GWh of existing Island hydro electricity is being wasted or spilled due to inadequate power line infrastructure. Cost of upgrading power infrastructure to accommodate current generation faculties estimated at $500 million. <br /><br />1541+700 = 2241 GWh and to put that figure in perspective the above 2 ISLAND projects when integrated is enough new generation to bridge the demand gap* until 2041. <br /><br />*This demand gap is using incredibly rosy forecasts provided by MF proponent Nalcor - take with a tonne of salt* <br /><br />$1.8 billion for the 2 island power projects (let's say $2.4 billion if gov is involved with procurement and installation) to meet the Island portion's current and future demand V X billion for MF power.<br /><br />16.4 cents kWh starting MF rate is over 2X the cost of new natural gas $MWh generation being completed in 2018 in the States. AChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06779383664665696092noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-11448622577313342132013-12-02T22:56:07.789-03:302013-12-02T22:56:07.789-03:30As we watch all outside experts who have had some ...As we watch all outside experts who have had some or much to do with the internal workings of governance here, we know there is much wrong. They have outlined, pointed out, proven with figures there is much wrong. Yet no one in government is responding. Why? The government is allowing Nalcor to run away with the Budget. Finance finance Minister Kennedy stared at a hopeless situation until he realized his credibility was on the line, and he bailed. Before that Williams bailed, for who knows why. Constituency awareness is in the toilet. The St. John's Board of Trade is backing Nalcor to the hilt. I'm convinced the Premier can do nothing to stop this or anything around or close to it. For those of us who are screaming for justification and reason a day of reckoning will come. jamesglearning@yahoo.canoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-36912634679472941972013-12-02T21:19:38.223-03:302013-12-02T21:19:38.223-03:30Gerry: The original plan for Muskrat, based upon 4...Gerry: The original plan for Muskrat, based upon 4.9 terawatt hours of electricity: 40% to replace Holyrood, Vale, etc., 20% Nova Scotia Block for Maritime Link with the remaining 40% available for export to New England States for sale on the Spot Market. That 40% was supposed to be used to satisfy "forecast" increases in domestic demand. Because of the serious giveaway contained in the Excess Access Agreement (EAA) Nalcor has now committed much of that surplus. What is also different under the EAA is that NS must be offered power from the whole NL grid, not just from the Muskrat facility. Remember, too, from the beginning the Newfoundland ratepayer was required to pay 100% of the cost of Muskrat in return for receiving only 40% of the power. Any revenue associated with the "surplus" power was to be kept by Nalcor not by Newfoundland Hydro to offset the power rate paid by the consumer. I trust this answers your question.<br />- Des SullivanDes Sullivanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-2051915483902343322013-12-02T17:55:50.037-03:302013-12-02T17:55:50.037-03:30I have tried to make sense of this MF scheme. It w...I have tried to make sense of this MF scheme. It was Danny's project. Danny boasted that he made a killing on the sale of his Cable business because it was "a perfect storm." By this he meant that he had 3 different companies in competition wanting to buy his business. This information is in the pubic domain, from court proceedings. I would say his good fortune was part skill and part luck. <br /> As premier, and knowing the problems with Quebec on the Upper Churchill, and the problem to get a satisfactory deal on the Lower Churchill, I suspect Williams assessed the situation similar to his cable business. If one can get a situation where you have 3 bidders, that is very good business. To get that he needed the Maritime Link, opening an opportunity for sales into Nova Scotia, as well as the Eastern Seaboard of the USA ( who until recently were paying extremely high power costs for summer time electricity for air conditioning.) And Nova Scotia was tied to dirty coal, and needed cleaner power. With this alternate export opportunity in place, it would be a "perfect storm" situation by 2041, when a lot of Upper Churchill power became available to us, and otherwise with Hydro Quebec as the primary buyer. Additional lines to Nova Scotia was a second route, and there would be three customers bidding for power: Quebec Hydro, Nova Scotia, and the USA.<br /> This was a long term plan, that made some sense , as long as oil costs for power generation kept going up as they expected, and without the shale oil and gas boom. <br /> But oil for Holyrood has not increased in cost as planned. Holdrood production has gone down.<br />But more so, the shale boom has killed the opportunity for exports to the USA. And the worse that could happen has happened. Nova Scotia has now got opportunities for alternate low cost power from either Quebec, or could import low cost gas generation from the Canada/USA grid. It has became a Perfect storm for Nova Scotia: three sources of new supply: Muskrat Falls, Quebec Hydro , and cheap shale gas generation. We are now stuck with a storm , of sorts, but rather imperfect. Nova Scotia has made the best of it, taking every advantage, their PUB permitted to squeeze every megawatt possible, at such low cost to make us a laughing stock, so it seems, paid on the backs of the common worker and pensioner here in Nfld. MF never made sense to satisfy the small load of 12 percent oil fired generation we had here. This could have been met with 1 billion , not 10 billion costs. MF was conceived as a perfect storm, but at the risk of the Nfld ratepayers and taxpayers. And the scheme started to fall apart 2 years ago, and should have been aborted, not sanctioned. I had once worked with Nfld Hydro as an engineer, and those in charge that I knew would never have gambled like this, in my opinion. And if anyone can explain the rationale for MF any better, I would like to hear it, leaving out the mumbo jumbo, about the "gravy" we would get from the USA spot markets and all the other nonsense used to sell this project to an uninformed public. On a larger ,regional scale, it will add green energy. But this is a regional, and world benefit, but all at our expense in Nfld. Nova Scotia and the USA are not prepared to pay anywhere near their share. It's on our dime, in the billions. I doubt if we can afford it. Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-46038576429237790142013-12-02T17:00:18.120-03:302013-12-02T17:00:18.120-03:30The new Construction association catalogue says th...The new Construction association catalogue says there are some 600 members. And that almost 2 billion dollars of MF costs will go to Nfld firms. Suppose 100 of the members get contracts at 20 percent profit, that is 400 million, or on average 4 million profit for each company. And there is the make work jobs. Meanwhile 6 billion will go outside Nfld. And 100,000 households will incur 50 percent higher power bills for the next 50 years .The golden days indeed , for some. Any wonder 600 paid 500 dollars a plate for lunch with Kathy? The poor, poor ignorant people! How easily deceived.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-61028132700997606202013-12-02T15:18:29.972-03:302013-12-02T15:18:29.972-03:30Since when have the people of Nfld ever said no to...Since when have the people of Nfld ever said no to a make-work project? Because make no mistake: that's what this is. It's a make-work project, especially for the handful of contractors in St. John's who stand to make hundreds of millions off it.<br />And that is why Muskrat Falls has gone ahead, hell or high water. No other reason.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-76111890310088104512013-12-02T12:26:52.409-03:302013-12-02T12:26:52.409-03:30Mr. Sullivan, I applaud you for your frank and for...Mr. Sullivan, I applaud you for your frank and forthright assessment of this incompetent and underhanded government. It is high time the people of the province woke up and began taking to the streets in protest.<br /><br />The impending crisis is getting more ominous by the day and they are glibly going along as though the Muskrat Falls project is a winner......it is....... for Nova Scotia. <br /><br />How our own people could allow this to happen with no sign of protest is beyond me.<br /><br />Jerome Kennedy had the opportunity to redeem himself when he resigned but he chose instead to sell out the establishment running this arrogant, incompetent, and, in my opinion, corrupt administration. Every aspect of this deal has been wrapped in faulty analysis, obfuscation, ignorance, and incompetence........ from the Premier on down.<br /><br />Is there anybody in this administration with the intestinal fortitude to step away now and say, "Enough is enough"? All it will take is for one individual to speak out and more will find the courage to follow. Somebody must break away from this bunker mentality and tell them they have sold the people of the province down the river. Cyril Rogersnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-61999890388748291702013-12-02T11:48:53.440-03:302013-12-02T11:48:53.440-03:30How can Nalcor commit up to 40% of MF power to NS ...How can Nalcor commit up to 40% of MF power to NS when it will sell 100% of the power to NL Hydro? How will this deal affect the Loan Guarantee?<br />Gerrygbgoodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07962231916163471594noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-11011766168488022962013-12-02T10:25:10.164-03:302013-12-02T10:25:10.164-03:30The government of Newfoundland and Labrador or Nal...The government of Newfoundland and Labrador or Nalcor have never provided evidence to the public that the Muskrat Falls option, with the Emera deal included, represents the lowest cost option for NL rate payers. <br /><br />The PUB exercise, and all the associated volumes of information released to the public, did show that Muskrat Falls was cheaper than continuing to burn oil at Holyrood. However, the analysis did not include the capacity or energy which is being provided to Nova Scotia. <br /><br />In fact when presenting to the PUB, Nalcor assumed within their Strategist runs that in the Infeed option there was access to 5943 GWHr of energy available each year. This is the total MF production, with the remaining RECALL. It also modelled the MF plant as a 900 MW thermal unit. In this case there is 900 MW available when we need it. These were the 2 assumptions included in the lowst cost exercise. <br /><br />The deal with Nova Scotia changes this. The fact is Nalcor have never established that MF with the Emera deal is the lowest cost option to NL ratepayers. Neither have the government ever committed to using export revenue to keep the NL rate payer whole from what was presented to the PUB. <br /><br />Nalcor should be charged with immediately releasing the terms of the PPA between NLH and Nalcor. Is this internal contract consistent with the assumptions of the lowest cost analysis. <br /><br />Or is our entire democratic process a sham. Who is protecting the rate payers of this province, from the complete and utter disrespect shown by our government. <br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com