tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post2771548781898759883..comments2023-10-25T07:29:40.789-02:30Comments on UNCLE GNARLEY: GOVERNMENTS' FIRST THRONE SPEECH A MISFIREDes Sullivanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-61273355305250232142016-03-22T17:18:53.743-02:302016-03-22T17:18:53.743-02:30You say you expect energy requirements will decrea...You say you expect energy requirements will decrease going forward, but that we will still need the peak winter demand. That depends on the type of heatpump: typical air source ducted units usually will not reduce winter demand. Minisplits both reduce energy use and also reduce winter peak demand, typically energy reduction is in excess of 60 percent and heating load peak demand per house is reduced by 50 percent at minus 15-18C. Demand is perhaps 35 percent reduction at minus 20-25 C. And these are cheaper to install then ducted units. Many of these are currently being installed. Models rated for operation at minus 15C and 0F actually operate okay at temperatures lower than this without issue. Ground source heatpumps will reduce demand for heating load per house in excess of 50 percent, but are expensive.<br /> So both energy demand and peak winter load will decline with uptake of these, with minisplits being the most useful to the consumer and most detrimental to Muskrat Falls. For this reason minisplits are not promoted by the power companies, and the power company says they "may not" offer demand reduction. This is true only if they are undersized, or low grade cheaper models unsuitable for our conditions. And contractors do tend to undersize. And I believe:1. the power company do not even understand the importance of sizing as to peak load reduction,or 2. are not transparent on this, so not to encourage their use, with pretence that they are of little value for reducing peak demand. The problem of course is that they reduce energy use so much that they would take a big hit on revenue from reduced sales. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-33970933328814784312016-03-22T11:11:34.004-02:302016-03-22T11:11:34.004-02:30For those interested, the chart referred to above ...For those interested, the chart referred to above can be viewed at http://www.vision2041.com/ <br /><br />Maurice AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-86089682460322424362016-03-22T10:17:19.002-02:302016-03-22T10:17:19.002-02:30In 5 years when the project is completed, and the ...In 5 years when the project is completed, and the true impact on our power bills are know people will question the decision making which got us into this debacle. They will go back to the question "Do we need the power". Nalcor did not do enough work to try to avoid spending 10 Billion of public money. They did not understand the NL demographic, and effectively dependended upon econometric models. Econometric models is nothing more than linear extrapolation. This was the greatest downfall on MF. No one described the risk to the tax and rate payer, if supply did not grow 50% over 50 years. I honestly think our requirements for energy will decrease from the current requirements. This is due to the mass uptake on heat pumps which will occur. We will however still need the peak winter demand. A growth in peak, with a decrease in total energy, will spell disaster for the MF business case. All of this was predictable if Nalcor had only worked in a prudent and responsible fashion. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-49236932300834354312016-03-22T09:50:43.952-02:302016-03-22T09:50:43.952-02:30By the way, I see Maurice`s site VISION 2041, has ...By the way, I see Maurice`s site VISION 2041, has an excellent chart showing the island power peak demand and energy use since about 2002 to present.With a slight up and down along the way, we are now about the same as 15 years ago.Given Nfld Power is now forecasting a significant decline in the growth going forward for this year and next, and the reality of a slowed economy, and new house energy standards, the outlook for much Muskrat power on the island seems remote. Given our provincial debt situation, this chart should make one shutter as to the ongoing expenditure. Nice chart, Mochie. Ed Martin should have it on a wall in his office. Can you imagine Gil Bennett going to Martin`s office and saying `Ed, have you seen this, from our friend Maurice` Or Premier Ball, considering all the chopping of services in his budget, while looking at that chart on Muskrat spending.... and for what!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-89931981851259424402016-03-21T12:09:12.767-02:302016-03-21T12:09:12.767-02:30Very well said Des.
Like our previous government,...Very well said Des.<br /><br />Like our previous government, this government has not learned to tell it like it is (or even how to connect the dots).<br /><br />Maurice Adams, ParadiseAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com