tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post1278527425904393437..comments2023-10-25T07:29:40.789-02:30Comments on UNCLE GNARLEY: NOT POLITICS AS USUALDes Sullivanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-16566714106687885212013-04-26T13:38:10.908-02:302013-04-26T13:38:10.908-02:30$8 billion is $800 million more then last estimate...$8 billion is $800 million more then last estimate - does this include Northern Spur costed fix?<br /><br />Nalcor and government have been skimpy on cross comparisons of alternatives to MF --> 500MW natural gas plant will cost X to construct and maintain, use X amount of fuel annually, list the various sources for NG or imported LNG (long term supply contract).<br /><br />Cost of expanding Upper Churchill (+872 MW) <br /><br />Island grid integration and update/upgrade - how many current MWs of power are unavailable due to sub par transmission system (spilling water on Island hydro)? <br /><br />Consideration of Deer Lake power on the grid - someone pointed out NOT running the mill in winter - has anyone responded to this idea officially?<br /><br />Available small scale Avalon hydro (850MW) with wind power supplemental.<br /><br />Hands off approach with PRIVATE tenders for Holyrood replacement - far too capitalistic for Crown monopoly Nalcor? <br /><br />Bills 29/60/61 prove MF can't stand on its own merits: must be propped up with archaic and protectionism draconian laws. <br /><br />NS ratepayers are asking more Qs about the cost of MF-ML power - 12 cent Emera kWh quoted price as of late. MF-ML is only a tiny fraction of NS 'green' commitment generation, a no name band-aid if you will.<br /><br />16.4 cent kWh was Nalcor's amusing initial residential cost for NL ratepayers (cost of producing MF power with transmission and cost overruns 20++++ cents kWh)<br /><br />NB and export markets will get MF power at 25-50% of NS rate or 3-6 cents kWh. NS 12 cents will be at least 40% less than cost to produce MF power. <br /><br />Including discounted 'industry' power in NL residential ratepayers could be quad subsidizing 60% of MFs rated capacity EIGHT TO SEVENTEEN cents per kWh.<br /><br />Nalcor needs to provide a realistic NL demand chart - MUCH higher prices can't equate level or increasing demand. <br /><br /><br />Journalism (CBC Telegram VOCM)on this MF issue has been near non existent - some can even be accused of projecting their own bias FOR MF by belittling or ignoring alternative options or solutions. AChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06779383664665696092noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-13037562889444925062013-04-25T17:49:18.673-02:302013-04-25T17:49:18.673-02:30As I read the writer's comments, it brought ba...As I read the writer's comments, it brought back to me the many concerns I have shared with you and others over the past two years. I take no credit for any originality and I have certainly relied on "in the know" people like yourself, Mr. Sullivan, but I have also come to the firm conclusion that this project simply makes no sense for all of the reasons I am repeating ad neauseum:<br /><br />1. It will never make any money, simply because the cost of building it is $8 BILLION dollars and climbing. That figure will not go away and it will become a millstone around our necks, fiscally and financially.<br /><br />2. We DON'T need the power now and will likely NEVER need it. <br /><br />3. Do we need to plan for a cleaner Holyrood?...absolutely! Do we need to replace Holyrood?...absolutely, but with other forms of thermal generation, which has been factored into their plans. We simply cannot take the risk of not having a back-up source of power for hydro, no matter where it comes from, and gas turbines will be a reality no matter how much hydro power is available.<br /><br />4. Nova Scotia will benefit immensely from this power at relatively cheap prices while we subsidize their industry. How stupid can we be? <br /><br />5. Do we have a market for Muskrat power?...yes, but only if we are prepared to heavily subsidize that power to consumers outside the province. Does THAT make any sense? Not to anybody with a modicum of financial sense. <br /><br />6. Have the critics been listened to? Absolutely not. In fact, they have been severely muzzled, including the PUB. Why? Because the government knows full well that their plan would NEVER stand up to a fair and impartial assessment.<br /><br />7. Is there collusion and obfuscation? Absolutely, yes, in my opinion, based on the passage of Bill 29 and the changes to legislation restricting any sale or distribution of power by sources outside the province. This is a government- sponsored monopoly, designed to enrich the few by captivating the many, but worse than that, it is government by a small cadre of politicians who don't seem capable of understanding the serious implications of their actions.<br /><br />8. We are seeing our oil money being frittered away to support a grandiose scheme that should never have seen the light of day. Not only is it a wasteful and totally unnecessary project, it will create a double whammy...rob us of needed revenue while ensuring we indebt ourselves for generations.<br /><br />9. It ignores the energy revolution sweeping the entire planet, to rely on hydro technology that is fast becoming obsolete. The irony of 2041 is that, by the time we get there, such power may very well be more expensive than other alternatives.<br /><br />10. We are being dragged back into a feudal age by a government with no real conception of leadership and no real vision. They lurch from one crisis to another but we are supposed to take comfort in their ability to oversee a project of this magnitude. <br /><br />Frustration and disgust at the myopia of the current provincial leadership is evident in the many signs of protest coming from many different sources. However, they have hunkered down though and don't want to face reality. Who do we hold accountable when the chickens come home to roost? Throwing them out of office will NOT reverse this monumental mistake.Cyril Rogersnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-69297506757391631282013-04-25T13:02:05.888-02:302013-04-25T13:02:05.888-02:30Des... This is an excellent summary of what is wr...Des... This is an excellent summary of what is wrong with this project. Nalcor and Government have not listened to the dissenters. They have also not clearly communicated why we need this project now. But most importantly they have not discussed the tremendous risk associated with the project. Cost over-runs, no markets, NS UARB approval, and the technical feasibility of the subsea link will put 50 years of risk to the Newfoundland Taxpayer. But the biggest risk is that the demand growth on the island does not grow as predicted by Nalcor. When you look at the state of corner brook, our demographics, and improvements in technology the demand predictions can only be considered optimisitic at best. Instead of strengthening our position in 2041, Muskrat Falls will bury us in debt, and will weaken our position in 2035 when we again need to negotiate with Hydro Quebec. Why are we building this now!! Please Nalcor tell me why?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com