tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post8207315432445234801..comments2023-10-25T07:29:40.789-02:30Comments on UNCLE GNARLEY: REFLECTIONS AND THE TOP TEN POSTS 2018Des Sullivanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comBlogger82125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-5671895364115090092019-01-06T20:32:31.384-03:302019-01-06T20:32:31.384-03:30FW is alive and well but trying to eat an elephant...FW is alive and well but trying to eat an elephant (MFP), one bite at a time, and to continue in wedded bliss. My direction from recent posts have been to look ahead at phase 2 and 3 of Inquiry. I've gone through 2 inkjet cartridges in past 3 days. As UG has said recently, MFP and Inquiry is a marathon. There are myriad paths of information but not all readily available. UG posts have provided some segway to searching for reports and trying to find a chronological order to events. Will pass on synapse reprots, etc. but need to be brief here while, hopefully, informative:<br />>Who knew what and when. SNC-Lavalin Risk Assessment of April, 2013 is in public domain. Was conducted at SNC-L expense with good intentions. Budget cost overruns were seen to be in 39% range while (at best) only 20% of project completion. If Inquiry wishes to set the stage in phase 2 regarding an aggressive, unnecessary and risky project (that should be now apparent from evidence), then, perhaps, it should start with SNC-L risk assessment and how it was handled. <br />>EY Interim Report (8 April, 2016)was initiated by Liberals in December, 2015 (shorting after 2016 election) re costs and schedule of MF. It took to August, 2017 to release its assessment. Meanwhile, the $6.2 Billion budget at sanction had grown to $6.990 by June, 2014; then to $7.653 by September, 2015; then to $$9.126 by June, 2016; then to $9.396 by December, 2016; and then to $10.117 Billion by June, 2017. I digress here for a moment but, not in my 45 years was I associated with any project that did not include interest during construction, and other owner's cost associated with it. The full number should be used. So, the $6.2 Billion at sanction is actually about $7.4 Billion from Inquiry; and the $10.2 Billion is actually about $12.7 Billion. <br />>Gov-NL did initiate some of the recommendations from EY 2017 Report. The CEO and Board of Nalcor changed in 2016. So, the Oversight Committee were most keen on diligence with the Liberals as government. Its September, 2018 report (available in public domain) shows in brief: no change from June, 2017 budget of $10.1 Billion that I will call about $13.0 billion sitting on about $0.3 Billion contingency to completion. A caution to remember that forecasts (although more carefully scrutinized) are coming from Nalcor. As to schedule, OC says reservoir impoundment will be complete by September, 2019; first power from MF by October, 2019; and full power by August, 2020.<br />> My very personal opinion, while not an expert. Still many risks re suppliers of goods and services and contract issues. Who knows how water management agreements and related political maneuvers will play out? <br />> Finally. I wish to recognize the role that UG has played in this marathon over the years. It has been trying but the grit is still in front of us. I am disappointed in the lethargic and very little reactionary involvement of many distinguished and informed citizens of NL, not to stand up and be counted in this issue. That is largely why it happened. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-59170070847243834902019-01-06T19:45:48.649-03:302019-01-06T19:45:48.649-03:30Yeah the UK is further north than NL too, but like...Yeah the UK is further north than NL too, but like parts of Norway has a milder climate than NL... go figure. I'll leave it to you as a self-assignment to find out why.<br /><br />Canadian per person GHG footprints are collectively insignificant compared to collective emitters like the US China and India. That "per person" factoid is just double-speak used by those who are trying to implement a carbon tax. <br /><br />The rest of your responses I have neither the time nor inclination to address, but no matter, good luck to you anyway.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-22902846609144175082019-01-06T19:22:34.207-03:302019-01-06T19:22:34.207-03:30Much like Bruno and Bruneau (Steve)and others....
...Much like Bruno and Bruneau (Steve)and others....<br />WAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-91222561187725394482019-01-06T19:19:27.095-03:302019-01-06T19:19:27.095-03:30"A very spoiled and apparent bored king order..."A very spoiled and apparent bored king orders his cooks to create a special treat as hot as summer and as cold as winter. The king rejects the best efforts of the royal chefs, and offers a rich reward to anyone who produces such a delicacy. People come from far and wide. The wisest and shrewdest in the land present their finest exotic concoctions. All are rejected as lacking enough heat or the teeth- chattering coldness the king desires. Finally, a young boy brings ice cream with hot fudge sauce, which proves to be the perfect solution... and the hot fudge sundae is born". <br /> By Garr, sounds much like a cold climate minisplit, my solution offered to Dunderdale in 2012. Cold in summer (air conditioning), and hot in winter (heat pump mode). If we had a king, I might get an award? But I got the shaft, much like Bruno,and others, as a MF naysayer. <br />Winston<br /> Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-43756061282243842272019-01-06T19:04:00.548-03:302019-01-06T19:04:00.548-03:301.Electric LeaF, Nissan , range 132 Miles , about ...1.Electric LeaF, Nissan , range 132 Miles , about 30-35,000.00? at 10 cent a kwh , about 2 dollars from St johns to Spaniards Bay, and if 5 cent rates, that is 1.00 for electricity. New model for 2019 having 200 mile range. I expect to have one, maybe before the govn promotes them.<br />2. Norway has 40 % of new vehicles all electric, and they much further north than Nfld<br />3. Canada,and NL, per person has bigger GHG footprint than any country you mention. Maybeyou drive a 4 wheel drive pickup as standard use, for your hobbies?<br />4. If we have to pay for the boondoggle anyway, why not use it where possible for the good. And higher rates can be offset some by CDM.<br />5 No one ever heard of the kid wanting "something hot as summer and as cold as winter"? Suggests your young age and immaturity maybe? Bet AJ knows of it. <br />4.Your question how can CDM and selling more power not be contradictory.<br />They are not, as explained, that even a child should understand. Not to say this is easy to do, and rather proves how stupid to go with MFs and now have to go for this simple yet somewhat complicated process, which may be the best of bad choices we now face. If you have a better answer to the problem , share it with UG. Maybe Synapse will hire you?<br />Winston <br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-34487824686769501262019-01-06T18:38:23.748-03:302019-01-06T18:38:23.748-03:30Yeah right, come off it... as if NL families are g...Yeah right, come off it... as if NL families are going to be able to shell out $50K for electric cars when they'll be hard-pressed just to pay their monthly electric bills. And electric cars aren't suited to NL's cold climate anyway, because the energy required to heat the passenger compartment will use up nearly all the juice in the batteries, limiting the car's range to the extent as to be impractical. And this notion to "electrify ships at port docking"... well that just sounds daft. Regarding greenhouse gas reduction, the amount of GHG reduction in NL would be so minuscule as to be unmeasurable compared to emitters like the US, China and India. So that's absolutely no justification at all for having NLers pay double their current rates just to try to sell MRF juice. <br /><br />Look... this dilemma is just a tad more complex than to suggest that it can be successfully addressed by invoking the morrow of some "little child's story" that no one has ever heard of. To offer up such rambling, meandering response peppered throughout with so many impractical and hypothetical musings does nothing to address the original question in any enlightening manner. In fact, it unfortunately serves only to further muddy the waters. <br /><br />But thanks for trying anyway.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-59589289770655558732019-01-06T16:46:04.386-03:302019-01-06T16:46:04.386-03:30What you say appears to make sense. However, two p...What you say appears to make sense. However, two points (as Ed Martin would say, seems he always had 2 points to counter with when on the stand)<br />1. with lack of reliability of MFs power, which is only recently being acknowledged, now also by Peter Alteen of Nfld Power, thought they knew it all along), to keep increasing our winter peak via more baseboard heat is suicidal in a sense as for very high risk of substantial rotating outages, so decreasing our winter peak load is best practice, always has been, and should have been started a decade ago or further back. Could have dropped 2 cents off our rates long ago of that was done, to eliminate Holyrood for firm power and fuel savings.<br /> 2. Electrifiction is like Roosevelt's with the New Deal in the 30s to electrify rural America, and here in the 1960s with Bay De Espoir, both of these were prudent choices. But why electrify now when it seems we are electrified?<br /> We need to convert oil heat houses and business to electricity, if we want to use up some of MF power. Also electric cars...Yes Virginia , electric cars are real, and much of the world going for that, and can be charged at off peak times, and special low rates , say maybe 5 cents per kwh . Low rates for that will gradually increase as more of MFs gets used up. Also too electrify ships at port docking , like when you take a trailer to a park and plug in instead of using propane. That too can be done at off peak times. And too all good for the environment to counter climate change. So to balance CDM, and decrease power use at key times , at peak, and increase it at non peak times , is a worthy and necessary goal. So timing is key to allow for both. But seems on the surface to contradict each other. But not so. Like the little child's story of wanting something hot and cold at the same time, it being ice cream with hot sauce on it.<br /> But Aggressive CDM may be bridge too far, to reduce revenue too much, is what they fear. So we need the Goldilocks, just right amount.<br /> Our winter peak is 2.5 to 3 times more than summer time. Some jurisdictions these are the same. We foolishly spent 12.7 billion rather then shave off our winter peak and add a little local new generation. To keep adding to winter peak means planning for Gull Island, or more unnecessary generation capacity. And that is the purpose of independent Efficiency Corporations like in Vermont, NS and many places, except NL, because here, we are unique, assuming TVs and not baseboard heat is our problem. And who opposed that dumb statement? Is there even one of the world class experts cited by KD that has even now said that is wrong? Well maybe PENG2, but he is anonymous, and was late to do so, and a civil guy, you would think electrical and mechanical guys would be shouting that down. Oh my. All so silent, even Fred Wilcox and Heracles and Ex. <br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-88488249870721421342019-01-06T15:57:02.322-03:302019-01-06T15:57:02.322-03:30Regarding the mitigation studies, how can "el...Regarding the mitigation studies, how can "electrification" be reconciled with Conservation/Demand Management (CDM)?<br /><br />One approach involves selling more electricity to raise revenue to cover the cost of MRF fiasco... meanwhile, the other approach involves ratepayers reducing the skyrocketing cost of electricity by lower and more efficient consumption.<br /><br />These two approaches would appear ro be diametrically opposed, indeed, mutually exclusive of one another. <br /><br />I've not yet heard anyone point out that glaringly obvious fact... what gives?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-23176352495595924912019-01-06T14:33:21.310-03:302019-01-06T14:33:21.310-03:30Joe, in terms of up and running time to reduce fue...Joe, in terms of up and running time to reduce fuel burning at Holyrood, you have it in the right order :wind , small hydro and aggressive CDM. In terms of size of benefit and lowest cost, the order is reversed, I suggest. Ideally all 3 progress at the same time for progressive elimination of fuel burning. You sure you have not studied engineering formally? For an AJ, I think many engineers, and technical people would agree with your approach. <br /> Biggest problem is legal escape from all those contracts that Eddie sighed for us. Is there an escape hatch? If not then a feeble compromise is the plan, with modest or a little CDM and try to use up surplus MFs power, (if any ever produces), if not then they will regret not doing as you say immediately. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-13123804241410426662019-01-06T14:19:34.379-03:302019-01-06T14:19:34.379-03:30You are so right Joe, I said "cracks me up al...You are so right Joe, I said "cracks me up almost", but I actually didn't laugh at all. Sort of want to bang my head in disbelief sort of reaction. Off the cuff, one might say "That's a funny thing, now they want all in and before wouldn't touch the subject. Funny as makes no sense on the surface, hard to understand. <br /> So we agree, not funny at all, and you describe it well.<br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-56921469847458399142019-01-06T12:28:46.787-03:302019-01-06T12:28:46.787-03:30No, Winston, that is not funny. Das a funny queer ...No, Winston, that is not funny. Das a funny queer thing they are doing there. That is called deceit and deception, disingenuous and dishonest, fraud and lying. Funny is when you and your cat or dog rolls around on the floor with uncontrollable laughter, wakes up the neighbourhood and they join in too, or striking your funny bone elbow. Now das funny said Joe blow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-33839595416985981362019-01-06T12:02:47.454-03:302019-01-06T12:02:47.454-03:30Ask Eddie, I think his plan is when we need more p...Ask Eddie, I think his plan is when we need more power, LIL down, or for whatever reason, we import power from NS. Reason for connecting to the mainland grid, he said. Now go figure that one. Guess Eddie and Cathie and Gillies, already did. What tangled webs we weave when we weave to deceive ourselves. The best laid plans of little mice and and even littler men and weomen, and lie on the stand through their teeth, runs off like water on a ducks back, and the bunch of lawyers write it all down so they can get paid for all the BS. So, has anyone ever considered worst case scenario. Maybe the Nfld power wants to take that one on, or did he just have a brain wave after 10 years of brain cells lying dormant. Think my plan is still best. Go back to where we were ten years ago, develop wind and small hydro as needed, and bring in Winston' s aggressive DMS, shut down Holyrood, and replace with a couple of gas turbines. Hand over muskrat, including the 13$ billion, and all to NS and the Feds, and charge them for transmission line fees for 1100 Kms over our lands. Give it back to Harper and Mackay as their only purpose from the beginning was to shaft us, especially Harper. Cheers, Joe blow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-26218187234724943262019-01-06T10:57:57.729-03:302019-01-06T10:57:57.729-03:30Can we even terminate the flow to NS if they too a...Can we even terminate the flow to NS if they too are in peak demand? Does the contract with Emera allow this?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-47743226910086972512019-01-06T10:28:40.643-03:302019-01-06T10:28:40.643-03:30MFs @ 824 max cap could likely deliver 92 % of tha...MFs @ 824 max cap could likely deliver 92 % of that to the Avalon , so 758 MW , allowing 8% loss due to transmission losses. During cold snaps with peak about 1750 MW, the Avalon is probably using about 1100, I estimate roughly. So 12.7 Billion project, if even producing max design, ,cannot feed the Avalon, like was needed 2 night ago at -16.2 C here, or even milder . So the balance must come from island hydro. If the DC line goes down or also if little power from there, and no Holyrood , we are into rotating outages, that is third world methods, and this is "by design". Hence the scrabble now by Liberty and Synapse to try and save us from Ed Martins disaster scheme, truly Muskrat Madness in many ways. Ideally MFs would have a very high flow to the Avalon all winter, and our good reliable island hydro then goes to NS at the same time. Flow to NS is likely much more reliable than flow from Labrador, as to risk of interruption. But if the DC line down we will terminate flow to NS, but this can take hours to to, and still the Avalon significant shortfall and rotating outages. That's the devil's bargain Ed signed off on. A traitor, I suggest, to our energy security, which is what we are faced with. The rates , whether 17 cents or 22 or 30 cents is only part, the insecurity of power is a worse issue little yet realized, except by a few, including Peter Alteen who has known this pre sanction, but stayed under the cone of silence, with Maxwell Smart and 99. <br /> It is well known that a crisis often presents opportunities. Now Nfld Power wants all in on opportunities.<br /><br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-14638934783124792922019-01-06T09:44:59.142-03:302019-01-06T09:44:59.142-03:30Will MF have a peak demand and when ??? Time of da...Will MF have a peak demand and when ??? Time of day, time of year ???Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-7355047217936465432019-01-06T02:33:34.052-03:302019-01-06T02:33:34.052-03:30The minimum guaranteed flow from UC is about 17% o...The minimum guaranteed flow from UC is about 17% of what MF needs. As such, the maximum amount of MF power that can be sold in a PPA is about 125 MW. The water flows from UC, that is right, but takes time before reaching MF. As such, when HQ releases water at peak time, it makes it to MF only once back to low consumption time.<br /><br />Without an explicit sync between the two, UC will keeps doing its business as usual while MF will be in trouble. Either they rise and lower the reservoir to answer the need for power all the time, but doing so will compromise the North Spur. To keep the reservoir steady and use water whenever available as required by the North Spur makes MF a run-of-the-river hydro plant with peak capacity out-of-sync with peaks for demands.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-78858656198894302992019-01-05T22:18:31.724-03:302019-01-05T22:18:31.724-03:30A chuckle would be good. This UG piece has not one...A chuckle would be good. This UG piece has not one who see anything funny, but sometimes a comment may be funny. So I try this:<br /> As to these reports Nfld power 's Peter Alteen says they would be interested in acquiring Nfld Power retail sector, so this about 10 % more than their current 90 %, for 100%. Peter says they would do that "if good for the customers". Nothing about shareholders? Would they do anything for customers that was not good for shareholders? Is not shareholder primary and customer benefit little? Actaully NL second worse in Canada for customer CDM for a decade, that shows their concern.<br /> Peter , under the Maxwall Smart cone of silence on MFs for 6 years, and now wants full input for rate mitigation! Cracks me up almost. Actually they want not just retail customers, but island high voltage grid transmission too, and the DC line too: and unfortunately that may have to happen to unload Nalcor debt, sell for 25 cents to the dollar to Fortis or Nfld Power, all in the grand scheme, of Liberal backroom boys. 1995 policy in their cross hairs. <br /> If this funny (Peter's concern for customers over shareholders) tick UG's funny square.<br />Winston Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-18205531128940482522019-01-05T21:52:08.601-03:302019-01-05T21:52:08.601-03:30Couple of points: Synapse suggests 5 % job cuts fo...Couple of points: Synapse suggests 5 % job cuts for Nalcor , so this about 85 people ( more than that should be fired for incompetence likely. Yetnothing by Synapse on job creation. I recall NB CDM study a few years ago included 750 new jobs from a modest CDM program. These would be tradesmen jobs, and island wide!<br /> Also Synapse says heat and light are the major opportunities. Heat yes, but not lights ( this a DUMB DUNDERDALE approach , like TVs. Hot water is after heat, about 15 % of residential, lights about 4-5 %, and this most all lost from interactive effect (except for 1 or2 lights outside and street lights.) Street lights is a utility and municipal savings , little or no impact on the residential power bill, so the power companies would promote that rather than more savings for residential. Hot water is also applicable for HP technology with reduction for hot water energy about 50 % and very high demand reduction. Hot water is immune from interactive effect when the HP is outdoors, not in the basement. Neither ICF nor Synapse have considered this. HPs around for 30 years, these for Hot water, as stand alone for 10 years, and the better ones use cold climate HP technology and stainless steel tanks. Also cold climate models for HPs that are all hot water, for both heat and hot domestic water. These are being installed in Nfld. How can you be a expert consultant and ignore technology around for 10 years or more? Smarten up Synapse.<br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-41400736249598900332019-01-05T17:06:04.286-03:302019-01-05T17:06:04.286-03:30Anon @9:13, your house is larger than the Nfld ave...Anon @9:13, your house is larger than the Nfld average and a bigger heat load, as you say you reduce by 5 kw.<br /> In 2012 I used official data: 151,000 single detached houses with electric heat load average just 5.2 kw. I allowed for 55% heat reduction, so 2.86 kw each house. This gives 432 MW reduction on the grid (Holyrood now using 350 MW average in winter months). This does not include reduction possible for commercial and institutional or hot water savings, insulation etc<br /> These calculations were published by the Telegram in 2012 prior to sanction, and can be found at Vision 2041 blog. <br /> Yet ICF and now too Synapse show no grid peak reduction!!! All will shut down sure! It is in a footnote in ICF. Who, of Nfld Power or Nfld Hydro directed that assumption be there? Much like saying all generation stations will fail at the same time every year when temperatures drop below -8C.<br /> Such is the application of ASSUMPTIONS to get a desired result. <br />Reasonable assumptions are not being applied. <br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-51300927219744893512019-01-05T16:42:01.822-03:302019-01-05T16:42:01.822-03:30The upper CF plant flows plus inflows below upper ...The upper CF plant flows plus inflows below upper CF is and was always a known, known. There is and was no risk associated with those flows. Water through the bridge you might say. God or Mother controls the flows and neither HQ nor Nalcor has influence there?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-67410626128474459272019-01-05T15:20:01.357-03:302019-01-05T15:20:01.357-03:30I suppose, being an ex hydro engineer, my very cri...I suppose, being an ex hydro engineer, my very critical comments on UG following the testimony of the Trio, especially Stratton, and the forecasting methods, reflected the easy ride they got , and Leblanc saying they did a fine job of explaining a complex issue. These words should haunt Leblanc, when the degree of incompetence of forecasting is fully evaluated, and too the Planning supply options to accommodate that false forecast. <br /> While Synapse explores CDM and forecasting, the issue of Isolated least cost : with CDM , Wind and small hydro best practice is not addressed in these studies, but essential to see that the issue is not 500 million risk issue, nor the 6 billion overrun, but the 11 billion overrun from what should be least cost. What study will quantify that ? This is really world class incompetence , and maybe world class cover up by this Inquiry if not digging deep. <br />WAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-82439791154249677412019-01-05T15:11:39.402-03:302019-01-05T15:11:39.402-03:30Now would be a good time to do refresher courses o...Now would be a good time to do refresher courses on basic thermodynamics. MUN could set aside some of the basket weaving courses, (MBA, Poly, etc.). And the Provincial Deputies could bring some real benefits in Energy Policy upgrading. The proximity of large bodies of water to solar rays, (Renewable), would do wonders in building a less fossil fuel dependent lifestyle. Get it on!Robert G Holmeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05356463540446993862noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-11518023350077060252019-01-05T14:43:38.843-03:302019-01-05T14:43:38.843-03:30Yes, electric cars, big screen tv's and iPhone...Yes, electric cars, big screen tv's and iPhones....justifies muskrat... The buggers....Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-28714075564413814762019-01-05T13:49:38.918-03:302019-01-05T13:49:38.918-03:30The Six Million Dollar Man was as much a spectacul...The Six Million Dollar Man was as much a spectacular success at duping the Burin Rube as he was a colossal failure at building hydro-electric dams. Well, the jig is up...<br /><br />https://www.thetelegram.com/opinion/letter-to-the-editor/letter-the-truth-about-billions-in-benefits-from-muskrat-falls-273104/<br /><br />On a related note, considering the demonstrably abject flop that is Nalcor's load forecast, and the recent mitigation study suggesting lay-offs at Nalcor as one possible recourse... the very first ones sacked at that hapless corporation should be every single individual involved in contriving that disastrous load forecast, as well as whomever signed off on it.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-52101810824102949812019-01-05T13:28:53.262-03:302019-01-05T13:28:53.262-03:30"These 2 reports, which cost who knows how mu..."These 2 reports, which cost who knows how much, says exactly what Ed Martin said 10 years ago , and again just recently on the stand, as to revenues for rate mitigation.....so this a waste of money. I have to laugh at the CDM bull, LOL give me a break, ...and electric cars.... I mean this stuff is laughable at best. Do they think half of Nfld Power customers are going to buy wood stoves and heat pumps because their bill goes up even by 10 cents per kwh"?<br /> So there you have it, a quote from the world class commentator and BSer, John Smith on the CBC NL piece "Aggressive policies" dealing with these reports. <br /> Smith is still a regular on CBC, but not here . Why? UG readers not so easily misled by his BS.<br /> I hope PlanetNL posts on these reports on Monday? These is good and not so good in these reports, as AJ says, too much input from Nalcor, and too other power companies and ICF, some necessary, but insufficient independent research, and seems swayed by those paying the consultants bills. <br /> The Shadow Inquiry by UG must stay vigilant and expose the shortcomings. <br /> Suggest one read the CBC piece, has much on aggressive CDM , whereas Ashley on the Telegram barely mentions CDM ! Aggressive or modest CDM , to be or not to be, this is the question.<br /> I suggest that the COMMON SENSE of regular ratepayers is way ahead of the curve compared to our power companies and even these consultants. And the fear is customers moving faster and more than expected, beyond their expectations.<br />Cold climate minisplits heatpumps (CCMSHP) is DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY as to Nfld, having an ideal climate for this, and efficiencies about 300%. And our power companies looked the other way. Synapse is sending a warning shot, but phase 2 may spell it out more, if they are really independent. <br /> I have been silent on performance for more than 6 months. With minus 16.2 C at 4;30 am Jan 4, I checked my monitor , the first time in over 6 months.<br /> For 1000 St ft cottage heated at 22C constantly; and unoccupied it shows the heat load : highest one hour about 2:30 am at 1350 watts; average HP load from midnight to 8am, 1120 watts; defrost cycles to 10 am , five; defrost cycles from 10am to midnight zero. RH nite about about 86, day about 80, attic RH about 15 point lower, so few defrosts. Other GEARHEADS would value this, as should Synapse.<br /> Total heat for 2018, 3080kwh, so if 10 cent rates $308.00 for a full year, tax not included. This is what John Smith finds so funny!<br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com