tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post8534665852295831938..comments2023-10-25T07:29:40.789-02:30Comments on UNCLE GNARLEY: MUSKRAT: THE BIGGEST GAMBLE OF ALL Des Sullivanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comBlogger85125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-34451666546950708802019-06-23T23:01:49.996-02:302019-06-23T23:01:49.996-02:30Bruno, like Danny, see certainty, but in opposite ...Bruno, like Danny, see certainty, but in opposite directions. There is no grey area to be evaluated. So they have visions that they are absolutely sure is right. No room for doubt. Neither would want a QRA, so just like Gil, ignore an alternate opinion, he did it his way. <br /> I say we have made a hard bed and must lie on it, and seek solutions. If there is no accountability,and public engagement, it will happen again and again.<br />WAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-66448300663802537632019-06-23T22:43:32.955-02:302019-06-23T22:43:32.955-02:30The expert is Jergeas I assume. I recall the witne...The expert is Jergeas I assume. I recall the witness said it MAY turn out to be a good project or it is POSSIBLE ( as projects that run high over budget sometimes do turn out that way.) I above explained why that may happen. I did not say it will or shall happen. <br /> Of course my memory is poor says Bruno, so maybe Danny's is better. What do others recall was said? Or someone check the recording.<br /> For Danny to say the expert said it WILL be worth more than it cost, if that is not the case, then it is false, and whether a lie or poor memory.<br /> Now the Messiah could say it SHALL be worth more than it cost,for certainty, this the language of lawyers and judges.<br /> As to the breath of fresh air issue, coming from Nalcor, it is as fresh as when I was young and getting a ride on a horse and cart, and suddenly the horse farts. But that was momentary. Nalcor and Danny Williams comments is of the same scent, for a decade now or longer.<br /> I look forward to some straight talk from Stan Marshall to call a spade a spade, and that is 50/50 odds if he is like Paddick about putting on the jersey. Perhaps Marshall will admit mistakes and apologise on behalf of the old Nalcor and promise scouts honour to do better going forward? <br />A big burden if Stan testified the North Spur is safe. I think he will want reputable signatures of experts knowledgeable about quick clay, to certify. Paddick's comment just don't cut it.<br />Winston Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-39860948642254311602019-06-23T20:48:54.310-02:302019-06-23T20:48:54.310-02:30"He says it was stated under oath by an exper..."He says it was stated under oath by an expert witness that the project will end up being worth more than the $12 billion dollars it cost to develop it. "<br /><br />Well well, the disaster on the Churchill has had a fresh load of bullshit generously applied by a paid consultant to said disaster. It will be worth more than the 12 billion it now costs! Will it be worth more than the 15 billion the cost will soon spiral to?<br /><br />When that 12 or 15 billion is extracted from ratepayers at 22 or more cents kWh will it be worth it?<br /><br />When the old and poor have to make choices between food and heat will it have been worth it?<br /><br />When the youth of the next three generations have no choice but to go down the road will it have been worth it?<br /><br />When the spur fails and the whole of MF turns to shit what then? Bruno Marcocchiohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08076165212559914463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-27513341774132864882019-06-23T20:47:53.883-02:302019-06-23T20:47:53.883-02:30Seems the hit to the pocketbook will be on rates a...Seems the hit to the pocketbook will be on rates and or taxes and reduced economic climate. <br /> All depend on if MFs operates at all, is reliable enough to keep operating, and if mitigation can boost revenue, to counter elasticity effect.So by next summer, and perhaps clues from the PUB early in the new year.<br /> To me, this why Synapse mitigation suggestions is important, and the public should be more attentive to that, especially to CDM measures that can assist customers, reduce peak load that can permit EV uptake and conversion from oil heat, and exports.<br /> Leblanc was critical that the Oversight Committee was not even following that at the PUB.....the public should be following that, as we are 2nd worst in Canada for assisting homeowners as to using energy wisely and efficiently. The public is disengaged as usual, and the results most always do best for the shareholders of Nfld Power and the insanity of Nalcor/Nfld Hydro wild gambles.<br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-27942368040833470302019-06-23T20:28:38.096-02:302019-06-23T20:28:38.096-02:30The river still is controlled to run much as befor...The river still is controlled to run much as before, to supply the needs of HQ, which is fortunately for winter loads as we have in NL,perhaps 80% of the time, but not always, so MFs water and production will be secondary to HQ needs from the CFs plant. Nothing or little change on that, and now just a few months from production no agreement with HQ that they might consider MFs needs. At the 11 th hour this still not settled or negoticated. If the case is a big win for water flow for MFs, perhaps some one can say here, I have not read the case,which they is complex, perhaps Ex military or other can clarify further? I can trust neither DW nor Ball on their statements. <br />WAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-37219593848183573762019-06-23T18:19:35.690-02:302019-06-23T18:19:35.690-02:30Ain't that the truth!!Ain't that the truth!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-50167293379356541332019-06-23T18:02:15.318-02:302019-06-23T18:02:15.318-02:30Don't be stunned, Danny L'il Trump knows b...Don't be stunned, Danny L'il Trump knows best<br />listening to Dwight talk about "big victory" in Quebec courts, and L'il Trump about a "reasoned judgment", you juts know they're lying.. that's the only thing all politicians/senior civil servants/world-class Nalcor experts are really good at, lying Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-36214430845765133742019-06-23T17:31:27.777-02:302019-06-23T17:31:27.777-02:30One benefit of getting the payment plan in place i...One benefit of getting the payment plan in place is finally we can see what the hit to the pocket book is. We can decide if we will stay or go, CFA's will decide if they want to move here, the economy will either survive or collapse, etc,etc..Just get on with it. All we got here now is doubt and stagnation.Levy Payerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10196300514529410225noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-49394436419835451342019-06-23T17:27:31.351-02:302019-06-23T17:27:31.351-02:30http://vocm.com/news/testimony-from-chair-of-nalco...http://vocm.com/news/testimony-from-chair-of-nalcor-board-a-breath-of-fresh-air-danny-williams/<br /><br />I have a question, how does all this positive stuff help with the $750,000,000 per year after completed that the big boondoggle at MF requires from our taxes(our pockets) to keep rates as they are?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-45519360437754938882019-06-23T17:06:40.313-02:302019-06-23T17:06:40.313-02:30Amusing story, AJ. Now Ed tends to move his head b...Amusing story, AJ. Now Ed tends to move his head back and forth sideways, even at the AGMs when I tuned in. Noddy would be up and down more so. But his communication was with a wink and a nod no doubt, nothing in writing on the numbers, but says if he had his time back he would keep lots of notes, and have his team do likewise to back him up. We assume he means these notes would be on paper, that are meant to be kept, not transient. Likely Nalcor's lawyer would find a loophole to get around this to make them transient and therefore destructable, if need be. Dan too would likely nod to authorise that, for self protection. <br /> As most all witnesses from govn and Nalcor are YES men /women, I guess they are all noddy types : Yes sir, you say so and I kiss your ass, I will fudge the numbers. I will hide or destroy documents. I will edit and get changed consultants reports. I will keep my mouth shut. I will turn a blind eye as often as it takes. What ever it takes "to get her done". And we will do it all in a world class style. If we cannot mitigate the risks, we will have a problem,yes, but a world class problem, maybe a boondoggle. All publicity is good, as long as it is world class. We will just shake it off, just change the narrative,change the brand the a little, and put on a new jersey.<br />Winston Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-35964920746204863692019-06-23T15:27:17.837-02:302019-06-23T15:27:17.837-02:30Now, Eddie, never officially passed along the numb...Now, Eddie, never officially passed along the numbers to the board, premier, govt. officials, etc. but just with a wink and a nod. So maybe he could be called a Eddie Noddy. But am sure the commissioner would not accept that as just cause for not officially giving the real numbers. Joe blow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-14276522384333072492019-06-23T15:19:05.571-02:302019-06-23T15:19:05.571-02:30Can't enhance you knowledge of a niddy noddy, ...Can't enhance you knowledge of a niddy noddy, Winston. But can relate a true story that ended up in court. Many years ago when the entrance to the dockyard, south side road, and the rail way station was a beehive of activity all locals in their motor cars and trucks etc. And one well known person of the dockyard had a twitch so that his head was always nodding. His name was Ned or as they called him Neddy. So in the busy intersection of going in and out and turning an accident occurred causing serious damage to both vehicles. When it went into court, the judge asked the charged why he proceeded when he clearly didn't have the right of way, and his only defence was, " Neddy, nodded at me your honour", meaning giving me the right of way. Now don't think that will help your barrel but shows there may be many meanings. Joe blow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-77918464080660032472019-06-23T14:48:20.477-02:302019-06-23T14:48:20.477-02:30A friend of mine would sometimes say, when an olde...A friend of mine would sometimes say, when an older person in the community died, that "He left a barrel on money" . I took such statements with a grain of salt, and would respond asking "was the barrel a niddy noddy or a puncheon"? My friend would smile and say "I don't know". One such person seldom worked, but would pick many berries in the fall of year, but was very tight with spending money.<br />I could not imagine him leaving a barrel of money. <br /> As to one's tendency to stretch the truth,exaggerate, whether Trump, Ed Martin, Gil, Paddick, Danny Williams, Bruno etc.....by an order, or orders of magnitude, it is like the size of a barrel, one can buy a wooden barrel from 1 litre up to 45 gallon (450 lb ).<br /> If MFs is sold as is for 1 billion, or can pay its way at 10 billion, or maybe worth close to 100 billion as Danny Willians suggested......this a very big range, 3 orders of magnitude of difference. Much the same for 1 litre to 450 lb puncheon barrel.<br />So too MFs is about one order of magnitude smaller than Cfs as to power capacity, but one order of magnitude more costly, indicative of a boondoggle.<br /> Why is this relevant? As to the figures being tossed around by Nalcor at the Inquiry, as to MFs reliability and power on so far with the old GE software. Same deception as Nalcor has done from day one, now happening before this Inquiry. <br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-77747543300978612232019-06-23T14:19:49.006-02:302019-06-23T14:19:49.006-02:30A childhood puzzle to identify: "Little niddy...A childhood puzzle to identify: "Little niddy noddy, two heads and one body" What is it? The answer was a barrel, and in Upper Island Cove area generally referred to a very small barrel.<br /> Yet a niddy noddy I just see is a wooded devise for yarn.<br />Can AJ or other know of it referring to a barrel? The Ndld dictionary does not say so.<br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-39744824588014605442019-06-23T14:11:43.556-02:302019-06-23T14:11:43.556-02:30Seems payments don't start until first power f...Seems payments don't start until first power from the MFs plant, but interest accumulates at hundreds of million per year.....so this why the schedule delay has been so costly.....and add to that the continued use of oil at Holyrood. A good reason to half MFs before financial closure due to schedule delay. Wind or gas turbines can be producing in say 12-18 months. Interest during construction was always not included in figures given to the public, so now that is over 3 billion maybe, including the govn borrowed money injected. And it keeps on ticking......18 months in the 1930s to build the Empire State building! Interest costs on MFs is one of the biggest deceptions on the public....so 10.1 billion is now actually 12.7 with interest included........yet Nalcor and govn was promoting the 1 billion "savings" in interest from the federal loan guarantee!<br /> You can go broke "saving " money, when savings is promoted this way.<br />WAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-39297205780818932632019-06-23T12:44:11.995-02:302019-06-23T12:44:11.995-02:30Why are we waiting to make payments on the Clunker...Why are we waiting to make payments on the Clunker"? I was always told by the Ol' Man to pay off my bills as soon as i can to save interest. So, get the "mitigation" in place, get the Phantom money from the the Feds (that no other province will know about), jack our rates up and start paying down now!!Levy Payerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10196300514529410225noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-47114678876763688862019-06-23T10:26:50.526-02:302019-06-23T10:26:50.526-02:30Hear...hear!!Hear...hear!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-85011455529853378192019-06-23T10:18:23.732-02:302019-06-23T10:18:23.732-02:30Bloody-well right... that hideous monstrosity Nalc...Bloody-well right... that hideous monstrosity Nalcor will henceforth be spoken of in the same breath as the likes of Mount Cashel and the NL government's Constituency Allowance Scandal... amongst the recommendations coming out of this MRF inquiry is that the Nalcor monstrosity should be dismantled lock, stock and barrel and sold off to the private sector. Even demolish that looming edifice on Columbus Drive for good measure, as was done with the infamous Mount Cashel orphanage. Then arrest the entire lot of that goddamed MRF cabal and haul them all up to court. <br /><br />https://www.thetelegram.com/opinion/columnists/pam-frampton-nalcor-a-league-of-its-own-324689/<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-36066848185459884572019-06-23T00:58:17.749-02:302019-06-23T00:58:17.749-02:30How much is now missing from those notes,now that ...How much is now missing from those notes,now that they have had time to choose what will be presented to the inquiry,omitting what could be incriminating?TMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01213412865108374357noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-87647016007770208322019-06-23T00:30:45.009-02:302019-06-23T00:30:45.009-02:30Again, Ashley Fitzpatrick latest piece is good, he...Again, Ashley Fitzpatrick latest piece is good, here in summary form,and sums up Eds and Gil's version of how the boondoggle came about: <br />1. Ed and Gil knew the schedule was aggressive but was doable<br />2 John Mallam and Westney disagreed.<br />3 P factors of of 1 to 3 was assessed, indicating only 1-3 % chance of success<br />4 Ed told the Telegram that the idea he pressed ahead with certainty of a failed schedule and cost overrun was "ridiculous"<br />5 But Martin and his lawyer never took the opportunity to question witnesses on those issues at the Inquiry<br />6 Learmouth says Martin now springs his theory near the end of the Inquiry,that he was denied a chance to question it, that others support his view that this was all manageable, and besides: a time risk document is only a tool....you cannot equate it to a schedule, "that in my own mind, and in the company,this is not a P1 schedule....I am going to say we did not sanction on a P1 schedule".<br />7 Ed repeatedly rejected the idea of P1 stated by Kate O'Brien, saying they had mitigated it.<br />8 Now Gilbert Bennett, Ed's number one, and VP, says costs were coming in higher but Martin chose not to communicate that to the Board or government, but Martin understood the risks, and no further QRA was done, as it is only a management tool, he saw no need of it.<br />9 Bennett rejected EY notion that more QRAs would be beneficial and the "studies can be garbage in and garbage out"...there are other ways...decisions are discretionary......not dictated by a standard....we don't have a cook book to say if you do QRAs every 6 months all will be fine.<br /> So Ashley stated their case. Ironclad, is it not, they were world class engineers and managers, and used good discretion,worth every cent. Just a little bad luck. Best practises and discretion. No civil or criminal activity, hey b'y?<br /> Ashley points out that Bennett has 2 more days, then there's the new missing notes that were destroyable, Ralph said,being transient, now a miracle, he has found them .....deserves an Emmie prize that guy.<br />Winston Adams <br /><br /> <br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-40041963362416268542019-06-22T20:42:11.809-02:302019-06-22T20:42:11.809-02:30It took Bruno 8 hours to state what I suggested he...It took Bruno 8 hours to state what I suggested he would, he is so predictable. It helps explain why Bruno was silent on Synapse too. I repeat : Bruno's opinion doesn't count much. He countered not a single point of my argument. <br /> And who would I be trolling? Vardy, who has done so much to expose the deception of MFs as a prudent idea? Vardy has said with HPs we invest twice, which is true. Stick with burning your black native coal, Bruno, while you colour yourself green.<br />WAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-18114679968023784142019-06-22T20:38:23.620-02:302019-06-22T20:38:23.620-02:30Last I checked Nalcor is not bankrupt. Show the p...Last I checked Nalcor is not bankrupt. Show the piggies the door and take anon justifiers of the scam with them.Bruno Marcocchiohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08076165212559914463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-11886815427218763592019-06-22T20:25:33.800-02:302019-06-22T20:25:33.800-02:30Ashley Fitzpatrick, (as I have here on UG) said mu...Ashley Fitzpatrick, (as I have here on UG) said much on the missing notebooks, in several of her pieces. I think the public and the Inquiry Commissioner should be outraged by such occurances, and what seems to me contempt of court, mischef, or obstruction of justice.<br /> Ashley says Leblanc is "taken aback" by the latest events. Recall we heard witnesses say they they considered notebooks " transient documents" a concoction put forward by government lawyer Ralph it seems, the guy responseable for protecting and delivering these documents, is he not? Transient means , said Ralph , that they could be destroyed. No big outrage at that! Why not? Now 67 new documents surface, at this late stage, only 2 weeks left in phase 2. Government lawyer Ralph said "When the summons went out in January 2018, there was a request for all paper records..., the summons went out to all government departments, and for whatever reason, the notebooks were not considered a paper record, I guess".<br /> Notebooks, not a paper record? Holy F..k, what idiot would consider that notebooks are not made of paper? Name every damn government employee that believes that. Drag each before Leblanc to swear on the Bible that they so believed that, or else they had instructions to such an interpretation.And instructions from who? For whatever reason said Ralph.....find out the reason. Ralph looks like the cat that swallowed the bird, telling these fables to Leblanc. So he says "I guess" Well , don't guess.......find out why these were held back from this Inquiry, now for 1.5 years. Ralph toddled off recently with Julia Mullaley in search of her notebooks , but was unsuccessful. So was hers of the transient type? Notebooks of paper or written with invisible ink, maybe, on parchment, not paper? <br /> Surely this Inquiry is being obstructed just as Nalcor obstructed EY.<br />Ashley says Leblanc said " Not a good state of affairs from my perspective" Past time to call in the cops, is it not? We are not all idiots as to what's happening here. This is not accidental. This is not just Nalcor. This is government officials. And government lawyers involved.<br />Winston Adams<br /> Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-57872142024082713402019-06-22T20:18:35.095-02:302019-06-22T20:18:35.095-02:30Trolls of a feather flock together.Trolls of a feather flock together.Bruno Marcocchiohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08076165212559914463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-55341269903120511962019-06-22T19:42:04.512-02:302019-06-22T19:42:04.512-02:30GILBERT BENNETT: "GARBAGE IN GARBAGE OUT"...GILBERT BENNETT: "GARBAGE IN GARBAGE OUT" Perhaps his key words from yesterday. That was in reference to QFAs (Quantitative Risk Analysis). EY said they should be done every 6 months for such a project, one was done in 2012 and another not done until 2016, and effectively Nalcor obstructed EY from doing it.<br /> Gil says it is only a tool and since they knew the issues, just ignore experts say is best practices such as QRAs and fix the problems.So Gil insists, like the song "I'll do it my way". That was the crux of his testimony in support of Ed Martin's approach, or Ed followed Gil's approach. Gil said there is no cookbook solution. There were over 200 risks , over 40 serious risks, so more complex than making a cake. How many wilful blind events and red flags were ignored in Gil's Way? We can see that most reports and forecasts to justify MFs was indeed "garbage in and garbage out", starting with the power demand forecast, and reports edited and changed to "get her done" <br /> Gil should be remembered by his words : Garbage in, garbage out, 14 billion wasted........some garbage can, hey b'y, over 6 millions documents is it, not counting those deleted, trashed, destroyed and jumped on. Some still being discovered. <br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com