tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post858091604648570812..comments2023-10-25T07:29:40.789-02:30Comments on UNCLE GNARLEY: WHEN YOU THINK MUSKRAT, DO YOU BELIEVE “NEVER AGAIN”?Des Sullivanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566013585647491614noreply@blogger.comBlogger134125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-63797531085741433112019-09-10T09:32:58.558-02:302019-09-10T09:32:58.558-02:30The question the inquiry should have asked to ever...The question the inquiry should have asked to every person testifying was "Outside of your salaried position payment, did you financially benefit in anyway by having ownership in any company or influencing decisions ". It appears to be a well known fact that key people were involved in hiring firms and supply companies. Why has this not been exposed. In other words how much did Nalcor Staff or Government members make from the projectAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-32746215538835478242019-09-08T20:42:08.797-02:302019-09-08T20:42:08.797-02:30LIBERTY NEW REPORT:
I wondered, since we know from...LIBERTY NEW REPORT:<br />I wondered, since we know from Liberty , and has occurred here , if an expenditure is not prudent , the PUB can deny payment , whether to Nfld hydro or Nlfd Power. <br /> Leblanc is likely to find MFs not a prudent investment, so the PUB will not approve any rate increase for it, I wondered? Customers should demand it be so.<br /> Liberty comments on this and may suggest the PUB has no prudence authority, and also must take MFs and the LIL reliability "as it finds them"<br /> Reliability costs rests with the customers.......this out of wack with how most all North American utilities operate. <br /> It says Nalcor has a "split personality" due to inherent conflicts of interest.<br /> What a web they weave........<br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-88122522897952351462019-09-08T18:33:16.317-02:302019-09-08T18:33:16.317-02:30Most of our hydro lines etc. Were built long befor...Most of our hydro lines etc. Were built long before Nalcor and muskrat blindness. And simililiarly with oil flowing from Hibernia, white rose and Terra Nova oil fields. But interesting to know which main lines are down in Nova Scotia and NB as well as Pi. Maybe you can tell us being a nalcor person in the know.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-30222787245676928372019-09-08T16:02:30.482-02:302019-09-08T16:02:30.482-02:30Half a million customers without power in the Mari...Half a million customers without power in the Maritimes and the commenters on this site don't see that there is a problem worthy of comment. Is it Muskrat blindness?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-9917710133957755242019-09-08T15:04:00.419-02:302019-09-08T15:04:00.419-02:30Reading the Independent this morning. Story there ...Reading the Independent this morning. Story there about supporting local business? I've been in a union here for 30 years and always told by the office that local businesses were bad people. Why would we support them now? Hard to get union members to go along with this when the message has always been to tear down the businesses.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-61672717493538663642019-09-08T15:00:36.862-02:302019-09-08T15:00:36.862-02:30Are the DC lines located on the low lying salt sid...Are the DC lines located on the low lying salt side of the peninsula or on the high ground atop the mountains well away from the salt problem?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02742822193792686436noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-37874331517591201882019-09-08T14:32:46.507-02:302019-09-08T14:32:46.507-02:30The wind from Dorian over the west coast/Northern ...The wind from Dorian over the west coast/Northern Peninsula today is around 130kph so the design wind must be much higher. What is it, 200kph? The wind on iced lines of course in the fall/winter season is a different ball game but not this time of the year of as someone said summer breezes. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-42290850952908340102019-09-08T13:58:21.474-02:302019-09-08T13:58:21.474-02:30Yes, salting can occur any time of the year, as yo...Yes, salting can occur any time of the year, as you know, but would depend on wind force and direction. Just checked wind direction at port au choix, for example, and southerly now, shifting more to the Sw and westerly this evening, that may give more salting as blowing more on the land. But no doubt difficult to predict, only when it happens. As for icing, was thinking more of icing on the wires, to bring down a tower, and you have a much better idea than I do on the added weight. Joe blow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-59845911582005727562019-09-08T13:45:24.842-02:302019-09-08T13:45:24.842-02:30Having worked at transmission line protection, yes...Having worked at transmission line protection, yes icing is a major potential problem but flashovers from wind driven salt from the ocean is a problem any time of the year. And may cause trips with immediate reset or outages for hours. This happens more frequent that ice damage.<br /> For the DC line Nalocr falsely claimed salt contamination would not be problem. Existing AC line have this as a frequent problem, and DC can also. Last year some 20 trips of the DC line , not aware if any were slat flashovers?<br /><br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-87634443122862171622019-09-08T12:46:23.658-02:302019-09-08T12:46:23.658-02:30Not to worry, this is just a summer breeze compare...Not to worry, this is just a summer breeze compared to a winter icing storm on the northern peninsula...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-7928399538794349512019-09-08T12:41:24.457-02:302019-09-08T12:41:24.457-02:30400,000 of approximately 500,000 customers of NS P...400,000 of approximately 500,000 customers of NS Power/Emera in Nova Scotia without power. A similar situation for Fortis/Maritime Power on PEI. High winds have a way of finding weaknesses in transmission and distribution lines. The DC lines on the Northern Peninsula could get somewhat of a test as Dorian passes over today.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-69421014964893985052019-09-08T12:14:27.746-02:302019-09-08T12:14:27.746-02:30Any reports of new transmission tower damage on th...Any reports of new transmission tower damage on the Northern Peninsula?:<br /><br />https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/dorian-nl-warnings-1.5275154Robert G Holmeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05356463540446993862noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-38239735068000346982019-09-08T11:01:54.768-02:302019-09-08T11:01:54.768-02:30SYNAPSE;
As I suspected, the power of the Mighty ...SYNAPSE;<br /> As I suspected, the power of the Mighty Mini is to hogtied. While the report has much to say, half of the mini's potential will be ignored ( can't have a power company death spiral , I suppose)<br /> The plan is that likely there will be no incentives for them , but incentives for other measures. The thinking is that the mini is so mighty , that people will install them on their own anyway. If any incentive it would be merely 500.00 per ton, so 750.00 for the popular 1.5 ton (delivers about 3 kw of heat at -15C)<br /> Further no indication I see to promote best practice, requiring cold climate models.<br /> Data they used had only partial CC models , used in the USA studies, about the year 2011, so performance is far from best practice.<br /> Me thinks Synapse, like other consultants for Nalcor , have their marching orders, that puts the ratepayer second, the power companies first. Same old, same old. My excitement was premature.<br /> So too for electric vehicles....they mention the federal rebate, but no suggestion of a provincial rebate, as other provinces do. So the load growth for MFs power for EVs will lag.<br /> My comments are from a partial 1 hr review, and hope others will dig into this report.......if this is too lead us for our future energy use.<br /><br />Winston Adams Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-62018243902766153362019-09-08T10:45:08.114-02:302019-09-08T10:45:08.114-02:30THE MIGHTY MINI!!! Have to agree with you Winston,...THE MIGHTY MINI!!! Have to agree with you Winston, you have preserved and so has the mini. Too little too late. This applies with a proper assessment of the north spur as to its stability for an hydro project, and the ability of the mighty mini to minimize the winter bump. (Notice someone has renamed trumpie, Donald Hump, which is Why I prefer to use the term winter bump. Think it has something to do with Stormy) Yes, too late for a re-evaluation of the North spur, the die has been cast. Re-evaluation could only result in wait for it to give way, or drain the white elephant, very little could be done in terms of its stability. What is done is done. But Winston's Mighty Mini, rotates onward and upward, killing any increase in power consumption despite all ensundry to electrify the province, and to reduce the bump. I'm gonna get my cold weather mighty mini (CWMM) sometime soon, and NL power is going to pay for it. Now that's not like The Hump's campaign slogan, the Mexico is going to pay for the wall, this is factual, as light and power paid for my chainsaw, trike, and truck years ago when I burned wood. Light bills averaging around $1000 bucks a year for almost 2 decades. And I enjoyed both the toasty heat and the outdoor activity, says average Joe.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-65446801405680351372019-09-08T09:47:04.367-02:302019-09-08T09:47:04.367-02:30"Take heed, take heed of the Western Wind&quo..."Take heed, take heed of the Western Wind". From the Dylan song, Spanish Leather, sung by Nanci Griffith;<br /><br /><br />https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&sxsrf=ACYBGNR2_QhwgsRnsiyrkNUAOBnKukkQEA:1567944641842&q=boots+of+spanish+leather+nanci+griffith&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjT7J37mMHkAhWAHzQIHTWIBfQQ1QIoBnoECAwQBw&biw=1230&bih=698<br /><br />Enjoy the total irony<br /><br />Had Ms. Coady and the bright lites who shunned the potential of wind energy actually taken heedRobert G Holmeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05356463540446993862noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-82757627831252824472019-09-07T21:33:54.671-02:302019-09-07T21:33:54.671-02:30I see reports of some roofs blowing off houses in ...I see reports of some roofs blowing off houses in Halifax area, and half a million without power, due to Dorian. <br /> Bruno may be in the hurricane path. hope he has a wood supply or coal even. Doubt he took his own advise and has a Tesla wallpac battery for backup?<br /> Stay safe Bruno. Give us an update. We are lucky for now on the Avalon, our turn will come someday.<br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-35793720788937858472019-09-07T21:21:26.143-02:302019-09-07T21:21:26.143-02:30I have only briefly looked at about 10 pages of th...I have only briefly looked at about 10 pages of the Synapse, but notice:<br />1. they suggest rates of 7 cents per kwh for EVs, charged at off peak times, so nighttime<br />2. grid peaks only reduces 1 % by time shifting but with CDM a 10.9 % reduction<br />3.Dunsky estimates adoption rates for HPs of 16% by 2034, whereas Shnapse says 62 % by 2030 on top of the 18 % at present. Was Dunsky hired by the Consumer Advocate, not sure?<br />4 Synapse findings supports that provincial policy that aggressive supports CDM. <br /> This 156 page report should be reviewed in more detail,maybe Planet NL would do it? These issues now before the PUB this fall.<br />WinstonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-62220161624711287992019-09-07T17:49:26.672-02:302019-09-07T17:49:26.672-02:30The only difference between Stan Marshall and Ed M...The only difference between Stan Marshall and Ed Martin is that Stan Marshall is a good man whereas Ed Martin is low-life ball of slime.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-50480567348754948262019-09-07T15:29:11.845-02:302019-09-07T15:29:11.845-02:30Well my 2 cents worth again. Seems to me the discu...Well my 2 cents worth again. Seems to me the discussion was who is qualified, from experience, ability, and in the field of building hydro electric projects, to even be in that position as CEO. I mentioned, Martin, Bennett and Harrington. Neither would seem to fit that bill, all were on their first hydro project. Now my assumption was Marshall has built hydro projects before as CEO or the equivalent, since he has worked all his life in hydro with Fortis. If my assumption is incorrect, then please tell me. Then I mentioned, Astaldi, brining in their man, meaning a perso that has built hydro projects as CEO, and similar for SNC. So I asked the question what would they have done compared to Marshall, in taking over a project half completed, under the circumstances that we all know. You could only compare apples with apples, and the first 3 are not apples in the field of building hydro projects. I could have started the project, if someone was silly enough to ask me, but I doubt that I could have finished it. So I would just fuck it up enough, that even the best of the hydro project managers and CEO's could ever straighten it out properly, unless they abandoned the sight completely and started all over somewhere else. Now was that an option ask Joe blow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-55329321097447014422019-09-07T15:24:29.725-02:302019-09-07T15:24:29.725-02:30THE MIGHTY MINI:
The verdict is in. The question ...THE MIGHTY MINI:<br /> The verdict is in. The question being does uptake of Minisplit heatpumps present a liability to rate mitigation or is is beneficial? The economic rule of 'elasticity' suggests that reducing load with heatpumps requires rates to go higher, suggesting it is counterproductive , or even harmful overall.<br /> Dave Vardy asked is it now necessary for the public to invest in heatpumps after the 12.7 billion spent on MFs.<br />I suggested the answer is yes.<br /> Now, according to Synapse, the answer is indeed yes. <br /> The Mighty Mini, attacked from all quarters: <br />1. John Smith ridiculed it as similar to butterflies and rainbows.<br />2. Nalcor, Nfld Power, and Nfld Hydro ignored it.<br />3. Wade Locke refused to read my short technical presentation to the PUB<br />4. Bruno ridiculed it big time: " A minisplit in every attic, a chicken in every pot"<br />5. James Feehan came around some, but declined my performance data from monitoring as to peak demand reduction ability, and the importance of cold climate models.<br />6. MUN : one engineer said their performance was a myth, 2 others expressed no interest since one was doing work for Nalcor , the other doing work for Nfld Power.<br />7. Our Quebec commentators: Heracles vowed to abandon UG unless I quit giving performance results. Military Engineer believed, as did Heracles, that these were useful prior to MFs, but detrimental overall to promote them once MFs is operational. <br />7. PENG2 conditionally acknowledges their high performance, but seems in the camp with Military Engineer. His commitment on UG to do a cold eyes review of my performance data did not materialize. <br />8. MA installed one and posted his results on VISION 2041, and also posted my Telegram pieces form 2012, but has been quiet on rate mitigation ability. <br />9. The public is responding this way: 12,000 installed in 2018 alone, making Peter Alteen of Nfld POwer very nervous......fearing a death spiral of our power system.<br /><br /> Seems it was I that advocated for the Mighty Mini, on this UG blog. I was mostly just a messenger, that others wanted to shoot, especially when proving performance by end-use analysis, many saying : STFU. ( Shut the fuck up).<br /><br />Synapse's "major conclusion" for rate mitigation, filed with the PUB Sept 3rd says: "Go for electrification plus CDM. Concern with loss of revenue due to CDM is offset by slightly higher rates and reduced average consumption" It is saying, so mighty is the energy savings that a little higher rates don't matter, go for the Mighty MINI. <br /><br /> There you have it: All of the critics must now bow down to the Mighty Mini. Yet.....there remains Stan's slip up at the Inquiry,........saying that heat pumps DON"T reduce peak demand! And too Nfld Power's Alteen , saying "they have limitations" They may yet have the last laugh, since deception on the public helps dividends. Which is to take priority, truth and openness or deception and dividends? Is the days of programmable thermostats and 10 dollar rebates soon to end, or not? Many still want to bow to Stan and Alteen, the Mighty Mini be damned. Marshall and Alteen are both lawyers after all, and know the ropes of the PUB procedures. Mitigation or not can be like, as we have learned, "least cost" is not the same as lowest cost. Slippery fellows , those lawyers. Would I bet the minisplits gets reasonable incentives for uptake? Not at all. Truth is not a priority, never was. It is not highly valued. <br />Winston AdamsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-30904904642733894972019-09-07T14:24:54.166-02:302019-09-07T14:24:54.166-02:30And as to 'insights':---
Here are two exc...And as to 'insights':---<br /><br />Here are two excerpts from Pages 65 and 80 of the 2012 PUB MF Least-Cost Review Report:--<br /><br />Page 65<br />"MA ... concluded that ... (Decision Gate 2, low quality, Class 4, feasibility level)... cost estimates ... are insufficient grounds on which the Board can reasonably, rationally and reliably conclude that the Interconnected Option is least-cost."<br /><br />And the Board's page 80 Conclusion?<br /><br />"The information provided by Nalcor in the review is not detailed, complete or current enough to allow the Board to determine whether the Interconnected Option represents the least-cost option for the supply of power to Island Interconnected customers over the period of 2011-2067..."<br />Maurice Adamsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-1572363000612380242019-09-07T14:01:51.113-02:302019-09-07T14:01:51.113-02:30Nice try Anon 13:01, but no cigar.
I am not measu...Nice try Anon 13:01, but no cigar.<br /><br />I am not measuring Ed and Stan from a political perspective.<br /><br />Their first responsibility was to form their own independent assessment of the REAL needs, costs, and risks associated with "the project". <br /><br />Does the evidence show that Ed did that? ---- No reply needed.<br /><br />Does the evidence show that Stan did that? ---- Same comment.<br /><br />They both followed the direction from, your word-- the "child".<br /><br />A responsible leader/manager would have made sure that he or she had a comprehensive, cohesive, rational, evidence-based understanding as to what was being asked of him or her and only after such a, dare I say, "integrated planning approach" would he or she either move forward as directed, or make every reasonable effort to effect the necessary changes.<br /><br />Stan told the public he would do just that (conduct a 'full review') ---- then promptly followed the child's "uninformed" direction.<br /><br />And FWIW, been there, done that.<br />Maurice Adamsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-61492560679583274452019-09-07T13:05:49.620-02:302019-09-07T13:05:49.620-02:30Sure 661K for a part time gig! It did us a real f...Sure 661K for a part time gig! It did us a real favour in the dark completing the civil works, never mind the spur instability just plod along! We don't now how Stan performed with the secrecy at Nalcor. Easy for anon praise, is it from Stan himself?Bruno Marcocchiohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08076165212559914463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-88736318248133281812019-09-07T13:01:35.682-02:302019-09-07T13:01:35.682-02:30Maurice - You are totally wrong in your comments a...Maurice - You are totally wrong in your comments about the negligible difference between Ed Martin and Stan Marshall. You are measuring these people from a political perspective. They should be measured from a perspective of their ability to fulfill their role in overseeing the execution of the project. That is what they were mandated to do as employees of Nalcor.<br /><br />Ed Martin was a pure politician who needed to surround himself with people who had the knowledge to execute the project. Martin was no more than a figure head, like most politicians. He really did a poor job of selecting his team and that, combined with his dishonesty, lead to disaster. By contrast, Stan Marshall has the training and experience that does not make him vulnerable in the same way. He has a great deal of insight into the legal and technical details that are over the heads of Martin or Ball. Marshall is qualified to do his job while Ball and Martin are not. <br /><br />Knowledge is power and Stan has the knowledge. Stan was not, is not and will never be a politician or a figure head. He gets involved in the details and leads his team rather that following them. I would compare Marshall's relationship with Ball to a brain surgeon working for a child. The surgeon knows he has to do the job and he can't expect much from the boss that will be useful. The boss is really a liability who can offer practically nothing to a successful outcome.<br /><br />It seems like everything in NL becomes politicized. Some things have nothing to do with politics and determining the effectiveness of Martin vs Marshall is one of them. I guess if you have never been on a management team overseeing a major project, you wouldn't have the insights regarding what to look for to determine effectiveness in a project leader. For you, you look at political measures. For me, I look at further cost escalation, claims associated with contracts, ability to hold schedule, labor stability, Safety performance, Environmental performance, etc. These are the things that determine if a project is successful or not.<br /><br />Stan was passed a very bad hand and made the best of it despite working for a clueless employer and beaten on regularly by people like you. In simplistic terms, if you were going to build a house, would you hire a master carpenter (Marshall) or a first year apprentice (Martin)? I think the answer is obvious.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235138415013046381.post-32940055349030605382019-09-07T12:16:04.895-02:302019-09-07T12:16:04.895-02:30Without misrepresenting the issue or the discussio...Without misrepresenting the issue or the discussion, I will just ditto Winston's comment. Average Joe.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com