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Monday, 3 January 2022

PUBLIC SHOULD BE MORE WARY OF PREMIER FUREY IN 2022

Premier Furey’s year-end declaration that the “deficit must be tamed with broad action, not big bombshells” might sound encouraging if only we could point to any plan, even a “broad” one. But Furey has no such intention. He and his little band of insiders, Cabinet passively looking on, are focused on the sale of NL’s most valuable strategic assets. At any cost he isn’t prepared to impose on the Government — and the public — spending practices that reflect the more responsible behaviours employed in other provinces.

Following release of the PERT Report of Moya Greene and her advisory committee in May 2021, Furey commented that “this is the pivotal moment in our collective history… the problem is clearly laid out before us. We are not on a sustainable path.”

The statement reflected a fiscal circumstance which Greene defined as total provincial debt obligations of $46.3 billion, an abominable figure in a place occupied by only a half million people. Otherwise, the Government’s response was silence. Moya returned to London to be heard from no more.

Eight months later — just a few days ago — the Government of Newfoundland and Labrador told the American office of French banker Rothchild and Co. to “review the province’s assets to determine their value and file a report in March.” The study is not limited to the specific ones named in the PERT Report. Finance Minister Coady’s press release acknowledged that “all assets are under the microscope” but that “the review will focus on the province's oil and gas holdings, registries, the Newfoundland and Labrador Liquor Corporation and Marble Mountain.”

No terms of reference were released. The amount of $5 million was offered for the work, not a small sum for a three-month appraisal job, unless, of course, large scale assets are being weighed.

Consistent, too, with the way NL governments operate these days, Minister Coady also stated that she wouldn't confirm the report would be made public, due to the potential presence of “commercially sensitive information.”

Now then, that’s scary. The Report has been Ed-Martin-ized already!

There is, however, more than secrecy that should worry us. To paraphrase one senior government official: when an old banking establishment like Rothchild, masquerading as a consultancy, is employed to value things like Marble Mountain (an afternoon’s work for a local commercial appraiser) which doesn’t even have the value of candelabra in a place of ill-repute, we might wonder what has piqued the Government’s interest for the impending fire-sale.

You don’t go to Rothchild for the small stuff — Marble Mountain, the Liquor Stores. It isn’t the right entity to value our offshore oil interests. More likely you are thinking Bay d’Espoir and the Upper Churchill… the stuff that the ‘big boys’ are interested in: assets with big price tags, that attract salivating lawyers and big fees, political insiders and middle-men, too, who would sell their mothers as quickly as they would sell out the province.

Incidentally, the other worry is that Government can get away with it. 

It is not as if the public is clamouring for Furey to act on fiscal issues. Public contentment with his flat-footed predecessor, Dwight Ball, and the Tories before him, is legendary. Ball is gone, but not due to his failure to deal with the deficit as much as for an inability to be either forthright or courageous — on any issue.

Indeed, all indications suggest that the public is happy with soothing assurances that the Premier is a friend of the Prime Minister and that, as long as this (perceptibly) cozy relationship is sustained, nothing will interfere with NL’s spending practices.

The same public contentment permeates Furey’s over-hyped, misunderstood, misrepresented and totally inadequate “rate mitigation” plan for Muskrat Falls.

Furey’s suggestion that the “rate mitigation” deal with the Feds is the “highlight” of 2021 is actually the farce of 2021 — except that very few people understand what the deal represents.

Political rhetoric may mask genuine worry over NL’s debt spiral, but it is no cure for the deep-seated financial issues experienced by this province. Eventually, the shortfall in revenue required to finance and operate the Muskrat Falls Project will come to the surface. The only question is how long it will take the bond rating agencies, buoyed by the recent surge in the global price of oil, to tire of NL’s long running hope-based strategy of fiscal repair? A fire sale will assuage their anxiety.

Moreover, Premier Furey is not going to aggravate the electorate with layoffs and salary cuts or let protest define his Administration. The worry is that, while he plays to momentary public support, he is not paring but pairing.

When some backbone would reduce public expenditure and possibly stave off a financial debacle, he is pairing corporate players and political hangers-on for a glutinous feast of NL assets.

And, by the way, this is a table to which the great unwashed is not invited.

The only safeguard the public has against such an outcome is its own diligence, which should include a constant demand for transparency.

A less-sleepy public would not let another consultant in its midst until the Government comes clean about its intentions. Had the Government released any response to the PERT Report — let alone an extensive one — we might be less apprehensive. They didn’t do that.

The need for good governance is not an isolated requirement related to Nalcor. Neither is transparency something to be demanded only after the billions are spent. The public has a right to be informed all the time, most especially when matters are being discussed that threaten the very destiny of the province.

Even with our backs to the fiscal wall, an informed public should expect its government to come clean with exactly which public assets are up for sale and the policy implications — rewards and costs — of what is on offer.

I have one other worry. It is that Premier Furey also subscribes to the Nalcor method of having consultants write the script of Government’s instruction. If you are not sure what this means, you haven’t read Judge Richard LeBlanc’s Report.

As it stands, the public is still in the thrall of “re-imagined” government — Furey’s phrase. It is an invention of slick PR types with small ideas.

My bet, however, is that you will like those “small men and women” far more than the greasier ones with far larger and more self-serving ideas.

But, again, be warned: within the paradigm of the carpetbaggers — large and small — there is no room for an informed public.