Guest Post by James L. Gordon, P.Eng. (Ret'd)
THE MUSKRAT NORTH SPUR
WILL FAIL!
Mr. Robin Dury, an engineering student at the LuleƄ
University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural
Resources Engineering, INSA Lyon, has undertaken a geotechnical analysis of the
North Spur as part of his studies towards a Master’s degree in Geotechnical
Engineering. He concludes that –
For assumed material properties and geometries of failure,
the critical load-carrying capacity is below 1000 kN/m whereas a rise of the
water level with 21 m (to El. 39m) will give an increased load of Nq = 2420 kN/m. This is more than
twice of what the ridge may stand with the assumed properties.
In other
words, the North Spur will fail when the reservoir is filled.
