Tom Osborne feels emboldened. He believes the high vote that his St. John’s South District awarded him, over the past seventeen years, is a personal achievement; that it is not connected with his Tory affiliation. He may be correct; but, only in part. The Party Leader, the Party, the prevailing issues, the opposing candidates, as well as timing, all play a role in any electoral outcome.
Any Opposition Party likes to steal an elected Member from the Government. Though Osborne had already left the Tories, either Party he joined still had something to gain. For the winner, it is a public display of strength and credibility. For maximum effect it is best to get the timing right. Tom didn’t or couldn’t. Likely, he had received a higher calling and decided to make his move now.