Monday, 8 February 2016

WHY IS NAPE JERRY EARLE WAVING GOOD-BYE?

The public, especially public servants, will pay a big price for the last decade of recklessness.

It is fine for the NAPE Head, Jerry Earle, to have reminded Anthony Germain on the CBC Morning Show recently, "this is a government that said there would be no layoffs". But such lamentations are meaningless when it is clear deficits and the growing public debt are unsustainable. The howling will not have much currency with fired workers, either. 

Jerry Earle has a big problem. And it is not just about a bloated public service. Issues, other than labour costs, also affect labour.

That is what he fails to see.

Incredibly, Jerry won’t ask: how many public servants will get axed for each billion dollars the cost of Muskrat Falls climbs?

The operating deficit is one thing: but how many more will be pushed when the cost exceeds $10 billion, $11 billion, $12 billion, or more, as many senior engineers believe it will?

Earle met with Premier Ball last week. Do you think he thought to demand a full and independent review of Muskrat, one that left no doubt it would contain a thorough basis for decision-making, including the data necessary to determine if it should be shut down?

Public servants will be sacrificed, to be sure.

But, the truth about Muskrat and the incompetence of Nalcor is already proven in the litany of cost overruns, and other well-known problems; Jerry Earle doesn’t see that a good many more public employees will become sacrificial lambs as they mount.

He, no differently than CUPE President Wayne Lucas and NLTA President Jim Dinn, will write words of protest and derision as the health care and education systems are torn apart.

But for them, like the small business people in St. John’s, too, who are just now awakening to the myopia of municipal minds, fiscal crisis was never once given a moment’s forethought.  

Union leaders have mandates to protect their membership from potentially harmful public policy. Indeed, one can think of few organizations with a mandate as singular or as well-financed to assess those perils as NAPE, CUPE, and NLTA.

Fifty cents of every dollar saved, when the government wields the ax, will represent fired workers, many with families.

A real leader would have been ready to present to Dwight Ball the terms of the Muskrat Review. He would have made it clear to the Premier he will be dissatisfied until the reviewing authority meets the Union’s satisfaction. He might have reminded the Premier NAPE has political power and is willing to use it. He might have used the opportunity to demonstrate that power can be calibrated to exceed rhetoric.

It is too late for Jerry Earle to prevent many of the firings that will occur, but he can insert himself in the decision-making process in a way that ensures the cuts are not misplaced; that any money saved is not wasted on what is very likely a sink-hole.

But, as the incomplete is the EY terms of reference confirms, Jerry is capable only of siding with Siobhan Coady; the latest in a line of shallow Natural Resources Ministers content to be Nalcor supplicants.

I am tired of the Jerry Earles. They are found not just in Unions, but at the Board of Trade, at the University, and in the professions, too. They are all too busy having breakfast to think about lunch.

I have a problem with people being pushed out the front door, as Nalcor’s Ed Martin heads out the back exit, not with what’s left of the Treasury, but the balance of our borrowing capacity.

I have a problem offering opinions to government under the faƧade of public engagement, on ways to resolve the crisis, when I know Nalcor will be allowed to squander savings from real people, their lives thrown in disarray.

All that is heard is an impotent and hollow NAPE President commenting: 'Dwight Ball will be going back on his election promises, if he conducts a lay-off'; as if that kind of comment registers on either the meek or the frightened, as Dwight Ball certainly is.

Earle vowed to be “more assertive” in displacing Carol Furlong as NAPE President, but he seems unaware that it is too late when the pink slips are distributed.

Carol Furlong kept silent as Cathy Dunderdale skewered an in-depth and rational review of the Muskrat Falls project.

Furlong, the CUPE and NLTA leadership, too, gave no help to the “naysayers” who advanced a compelling case that Nalcor had contrived the “business case” for the project.

The warnings, even then, spoke to the threat of cost overruns which threatened the viability of far better conceived projects throughout the world.  

But the union leadership remained mute, unwilling to challenge the Dunderdale Government, or consider the consequences, if the “naysayers” were right.

Jerry Earle was never far removed from Carol Furlong, having acted as NAPE’s Chief Negotiator.

Like Furlong, he could only see the small picture of the next pay hike; the larger one depicting irrational exuberance, outright megalomania, deceit, and who would have to pay for the misdeeds to which these things gave birth, eluded him.

Now, Jerry Earle is President of NAPE.   “Assertive”, for him, is an articulation of the same old rhetoric except, in the current environment carrying less punch, if it ever carried any.

Earle will preside over the unceremonious firing of a good many public servants, just as Wayne Lucas and Jim Dinn will act surprised as CUPE and NLTA memberships face, not just cuts, but the greatest challenge in the history of the local union movement.

Public sector employees need to know their hapless leadership allowed delusion, as much as complacency, to prevail over their fundamental interests.

Jerry Earle will dither as his members write cheques to the dozens of individually owned corporations which protect the tax status of the $300,000-$500,000 paid each of the project management team.

He will watch as the price of Muskrat rises every year.  

Jerry will wave “Good-Bye” as public servants are given the door.

They will say: There goes Jerry. Being assertive.

7 comments:

  1. With each 1 Billion in extra money going to Muskrat Falls the province will have to borrow "equity" to cover the money. 1 Billion in new borrowing results in about 40 million in additional debt servicing each year. This money goes right to the deficit and net debt calculations. It is money that will not be recovered in electricity rates until decades in the future. the 40 million will be paid for by reductions in other government services. Of course this is layoffs. 40 million a year is about 350 workers.

    So every 1 Billion in overrun will result in the requirement for several hundred layoffs in the public service.

    Jerry Earle should ask Lana Payne why she supported Muskrat Falls. Union Worker jobs today, jeopardizing union worker jobs in the future.

    MF is a policy disaster unfolding right in front of our eyes. Thanks Danny.

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  2. It's union workers, not working that got the MF over budget. The worst workers in the world are union. All the guys working for unions, that I asked, what do you do, nothing. We walk around, trying to look busy. The unions are killing us ALL.

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  3. Don’t stop the Project, complete the Power Line from Churchill Falls to Soldiers Pond. Send whatever power we require, either Recall power or power we purchase from Hydro Quebec. Stop building the Dam, we don’t need it.
    If the Province continues to put money into the MF dam we are doomed. Electricity rates will probably double to start and increase 2% each year for the next fifty years. If you stop the MF dam fiasco, you can repeal Bills 60 & 61, and allow free enterprise to produce power through wind, solar or other ways, and sell power to the grid.
    We have so many huge problems that the thought of doubling the electricity bill sickens me. The price of oil has lowered my power bill by about 10%, NL Hydro can’t take advantage of this but the Government can. I would suggest a 10% tax on electricity, this is far better than a 50% to 100% increase in four years. A tax would give ratepayers a good reason to conserve power, whereas a MF dam would cause Nalcor to raise the rate to compensate for the loss of usage.

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  4. Re stopping MF. We, the people, and likely some folks involved simply do not know if it is better to stop now vs proceeding to finish. We just do not have the facts. Such as obligations to NS. Provisions of the numerous contracts material and labour. Legal cost of stopping and being sued by all and sundry. Re finishing the line to soldiers pond . That needs a separate look (technically and economically)as it might be worth finishing as Hydro has a fair bit of unused recall at CF and after this September will cost $0.002, yes that is 0.2 cents. Holyrood will need a lot of cash to be able to last and a carbon tax will cost $$/. Not saying it cannot or should not be stopped but without a detailed look at overall and longer term cost we just do not know. Maybe that is a question for PUB if the gov't will give them that role. ..and it in itself will not be a cheap exercise.

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  5. Unfortunately Des we all wear this one. The public supported it through its' election of successive PC administrations. The unions support was unequivocal as they had a membership boost of almost 10,000 plus the most generous compensation packages the province had ever seen. The St. John's BoT were still standing and cheering former Premier Williams (Oct. 22, 2012) and his unwaivering promotion and endorsement of this project.

    The few public voices that challenged were dismissed, at best, as unpatriotic and, at worst, as "traitors".

    We all wear this one.

    Keith

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  6. Maybe Jerry Earle has more than the single track mind Des Sullivan has? You should team up with other provincial blowhards like Earle McCurdy, Bill Barry. Etc and form your own Blowhard Party

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  7. We need someone to organize petition to demand that MUSKRATS FALLS money pit be STOPPED NOW>

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